Saturday, 27 April 2013

Jets fail again; what needs to change?

by Brandt Corbin


    Where did things go so wrong? Why are the Winnipeg Jets again booking their tee times, missing out on the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs.
    Make absolutely no mistake; Tuesday night’s contest against the Washington Capitals was the biggest game in Atlanta/Winnipeg franchise history. Anyone saying differently is fooling themselves. You win in regulation and you’re 1 point up the Caps; but they’d have one game in hand. You lose in regulation and you’re all but done. The Jets needed to win Thursday, but did not.
   Quite honestly and bluntly they failed and did so miserably. How in an absolute must win game do you get outshot 41-27; proceed to be outshot 13-7 (in the first period) when being down in minute three. Every single player (with the exception of Ladd, Antropov and Wheeler) was -1 or worse.
Why have the Jets failed again?
     The reasons why the team has yet again failed? In my opinion is a long long laundry list.
1     1>     Ondrej Pavelic
     I’ve always questioned whether Pavelic has been a true number one netminder. Some night’s he looks like the second coming of Henrik Lunquist; yet the next he’ll look as disinterested as Ilya Bryzgalov. The 5th year netminder is Ranked 37th in the NHL with a 2.77 g.a.a; & 36th with a .906 %. Those numbers itself are a recipe for disaster; but when goal challenged like the Jets can be, you’ve got no chance. Some will say I’m being too harsh; but the fact is he has allowed the most goals this year (119). Unreal to think, his numbers are better than last year’s 2.91 G.A.A. He had 4 years remaining, with 3.9 million owed each year. It’s either time to buy him out; or get a very capable backup; one capable of playing 30-35 games.
2    2>     Absolutely depth to be found
    What type of depth do the Jets have? In the 5-3 loss to Washington; Eric Tangradi, Mark Santorelli, James Wright played no less than 12 minutes; Anti Miettinen played over 6 minutes. Each one of those is waiver pickups or acquired for 7th rounders; in a combined 102 games this year, those four have a combined 5 goals and 9 assists. Can you imagine getting five goals in 47 games from your third line?
     This lack of depth has been an issue since the days of the Atlanta Thrashers; but is one of the main reasons they have no chance to compete night in night out. The days of Chris Thornbur n & Jim Slater could  be over; after very sub-par years. The club needs to address this with free agency; but they need to get deeper in the minor league system as well. Use Aaron Gagnon; originally signed for the AHL; but in 8 games this year has scored 3 times; inexpensive but gets the job done. They need to find those who will only cost 1.5 -2 million type players or less.
3    3>      Get Creative & Bold
T        The Jets cannot lure free agents without over spending, so they need to get creative and make some bold moves. Don’t believe me? How did Olli Jokinen work out this year? In 45 games he has 7 goals & 7 assists while going -19 (-8 being the next worst). Do you think they over spent a little bit? Nothing like one more year at 4.5 million (ouch). Alexei Ponikarvsky lasted all but 12 games; yet another free agent they had to overpay.
         With Jacob Trouba on the horizon; it might be time for the Jets to move all-star defenseman Dustin Byfuglien and/or Evander Kane.  Is it time they make a ballsy move like Columbus made by trading Rick Nash. This team needs to change something within the core; it’ obvious Kane would like a change of scenery, and we’ve all heard the trade rumours about Big Buff. Would the Flyers move the Schenn brothers & Sean Courtier for Kane and Byfuglien? Keeping everything status quo will not get the Jets any further.
4    4>     Nobody knocking on the door
    Aside Truba and top prospect Mark Scheifele, the Jets don’t have prospects ready to beat the door down to make an impact. That problem makes the off-season more important; because if not addressed; the teams will be waiver wire bottom feeders; picking up the scrap heaps from other teams.
5   5>     Changes need to be made?
    Despite not making an impact on this year’s roster; it would be quite stunning to see a change in the front office. Kevin Cheveldayoff will be going into his third season as general manager for the Jets; but just like every other year, questions will remain can this core get the job done. Two core players Byfuglien & Kane need to grow up and become more mature; both on and off the ice. Both can be game changers, but they can go weeks at a time without making an impact. Kane is the most likely to be moved; because of his off ice issues with the media and mixed signals of whether he wants to stay or leave town.
    Head coach Claude Noel’s safety is not as guaranteed. Have the players had enough of Noel over the last two years. The reason why I’m concerned over his job security is the teams not showing up and the biggest 5-6 games of the year. Cheveldayof should be more concerned over the big money players not coming through when needed most.
    Five to six veterans have their contracts expiring, they will be saving 14.35 million; but half of that salary will be used to resign Bryan Little & Blake Wheeler. The unfortunate thing is those two are better than average second liners, but should not be considered first line forwards.
What would I do?
    If I were the general manager; I’d be open minded when it comes to moving almost any and every player. My untouchables would be captain Andrew Ladd, Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba and Zach Redmond. Staying status quo might get the team into one of the botton playoff spots, but certainly not considered a contender in any way.  
    Too close; can one imagine on how bad this team would be if the Chicago Blackhawks didn’t have to slash salary after winning the Stanley Cup? No Byfuglien or Ladd, Holy Toldedo….. one cannot blame Atlanta for not supporting the Thrashers.
    Also keep in mind, there is no more playing in the South East, you've got to deal with Chicago, St.Louis six times a year going forward, no more cake walk going forward.

Wednesday, 3 April 2013

Five difference makers to watch; first rounders or no deal


The price tag on NHL trade deadline day always are higher. Remember last year Nashville Predators coughed up a 1rst rounder for centerman Paul Gaustad. That didn’t work out as planned; after they were ousted in the second round of the playoffs. Further more Gaustad scored his 2nd goal (into an empty net) last night.
I believe there are five players that are available but and only but for a specific price and you got it right only for a first rounder.
Steve Ott is not a rental, as he has one year left on his contract. The former 20 goal scorer is an absolute nasty piece of business. I would humbly suggest Ott best resembles former Washington Capital great Dale Hunter. He’s highly valuable to Buffalo; he’s their top penalty killer; on the 2nd power play unit and at 2.95 million a year 100% highly affordable.
David Clarkson could the 2nd choice for some over Steve Ott; only because he is a rental; a UFA starting July 5. Is he a one time 30 goal scorer; highly unlikely that he is one time wonder. Unlike Ott; Clarkson can easily be a top six forward; especially as a front line presence on the powerplay.
Stephane Robidas is like Ott; he is not a rental; one year remaining at 3.3 million next season. He is the best available stay at home defenseman. Teams like Toronto are kicking the tires with Dallas; sending multiple scouts to every game this past week. Will only be had for a first rounder; or a Matt Frattin and a 3rd rounder.
Mark Streit is a different beast. Unlike the Dallas Stars the New York Islanders are in the playoffs as we speak. For the Islanders to move their captain they will need and them some to blow their socks off. We’re talking about an early to mid round 1rst rounder; I would suggest if the Columbus Blue Jackets offer up the New York Rangers first rounder it could be enough. If so; look for the Islanders to turn around and trade off their 2nd & 3rd rounder to make up for the loss of Streit. He’s not a top line D-man; but will improve any powerplay; 47 + points; 4 years in a row.
Jason Pominville is the unlikeliest of the five to be traded. Can you say a high price tag? Again like two others; he is not a rental. The price tag could be a 1rst rounder & an A level prospect; or a 1rst rounder + (2) B level prospects. It all depends on how much the Sabres insist on changing their core group.

Monday, 1 April 2013

Sabres fire sale has begun


    Losing back to back games this past weekend at home against Boston & Washington all but confirmed the Buffalo Sabres are in 100% sell off mode. The trade of Robyn Regehr earlier today all but confirmed that. The former Flame defenseman was traded Monday afternoon to the defending Cup Champions LA Kings for (2) second round draft picks. The move for the Kings were a required after the teams injuries to rugged blueliners Matt Greene & Wille Mitchell.
    The big spending Sabres have asked veteran Jason Pominville to submit a list of eight teams he would NOT be traded to. Safe to assume Columbus, Islanders, Coyotes, Stars, Panthers & Flames are on that list for sure. And it would take a massive package from the Bruins, Leafs or Senators for Sabres to trade within the division.
    Look for John Scott, Nathan Gerbe, Drew Stafford, Ville Leino, Jochen Hecht & Adam Pardy all to be available. Scott, Hecht, Pardy could all be had for 5th rounders or less; Leino & Gerbe could be had a for B level prospect. Stafford could be had for a late 2nd or early 3rd rounder.
    Might a team like Toronto cough up a 1rst rounder for pesky forward Steve Ott? Because the PEI forward has one year left on his contract it is not out the question.
    My hunch says the following; with the exception of Ott & first line center Cody Hodgson, the same “core group” has been intact for a long time. With little or no success it could be time to make major changes; so much so Ryan Miller & Tyler Myers could be had for the right price.

Stars to become sellers

Stars will be sellers
    After managing 15 shots @ home Sunday against the LA Kings, the Dallas Stars came back 24 hours later and got spanked 4-0 by the Anaheim Ducks. Getting 0 points over the past 48 hours, likely indicates the Stars will become a seller on Wednesday’s NHL trade deadline. Unless a miracle can be worked (with an extension) look for veterans Derek Roy, Eric Nystrom & Jaromoir Jagr to be traded. It’s widely reported the Toronto Maple Leafs are targeting defenseman Stephane Robidas; because he had one more year left the cost is high, likely a first rounder or a B level prospect & a 2nd rounder.